Earth's fateprobably engulfedSchröder and Smith, 2008[2]
About the image. Drawn as a swollen orange-red star with a small blue planet close to its surface, as the Sun and Earth may one day be. The planet is drawn far larger than it would really appear. Surface detail is imagined.
Look at the bright orange star Arcturus in spring, or Aldebaran in the eye of Taurus in winter, and you are seeing a red giant: a star in the late stage of its life, swollen far beyond its original size. One day the Sun will look like that.
How a star becomes a giant
A star like the Sun spends most of its life fusing hydrogen into helium in its core. Eventually the hydrogen there runs out. The core, now mostly helium, shrinks and heats up, and hydrogen keeps burning in a shell around it. That burning shell pours out more energy than the star made before, and the outer layers swell enormously and cool. The star becomes tens or even hundreds of times wider than before, but its surface, around 5 000 K (4 730 °C) or lower, glows orange or red.
Stars from about a third of the Sun’s mass up to about eight times it go through this stage. In stars up to about two solar masses, the helium core is so dense that when it finally reaches about 100 million degrees, helium ignites almost all at once, in an event called the helium flash. After a period of steady helium burning, the star swells again on the so-called asymptotic giant branch, before gently shedding its outer layers as a planetary nebula and leaving a white dwarf behind.
The Sun’s future
The Sun is about halfway through its hydrogen-burning life. In about 5 billion years it will begin to become a red giant. Mercury and Venus will be swallowed. Earth’s fate is less certain, because the Sun will also lose a lot of mass, loosening its grip on the planets. In 2008 Klaus-Peter Schröder and Robert Connon Smith calculated that the effect would not be enough: tidal forces and drag in the Sun’s swollen outer layers would pull Earth in. By their calculation, only a planet that today orbited at about 1.15 times Earth’s distance would survive.
How hot is it?
Earth (average)288 K · 15 °C
Water boils373 K · 100 °C
Venus surface737 K · 464 °C
Iron melts1 811 K · 1 540 °C
Sun's surface5 772 K · 5 500 °C
Red giant5 000 K · 4 730 °C
Red giant: typical surface temperature (or lower). Logarithmic scale from 100 K to 10 000 K. Reference values: NASA, IAU.
Gallery
The vast, glowing orange surface of a swollen star filling the picture, with a small planet silhouetted near its edge, an impression of a red giant engulfing its planets. AI-generated painting.A vast red sun filling much of the sky above a cracked, barren plain, an impression of the Sun as a red giant seen from a scorched planet. AI-generated painting.Red giant, 3D artist's impression, rendered from the interactive model.Red giant, 3D artist's impression, from another angle, rendered from the interactive model.Red giant, 3D artist's impression, close-up, rendered from the interactive model.
Timeline
2008Schröder and Smith calculate that the red giant Sun will probably engulf Earth.
Questions people ask
Will the Sun become a red giant?
Yes, in about 5 billion years.
Will the Sun swallow Earth?
Probably. A 2008 calculation found that Earth would be pulled into the swollen Sun.
What are some red giants?
Arcturus, Aldebaran and Gacrux are well-known red giants visible to the naked eye.